To play, press and hold the enter key. To stop, release the enter key.

acd%20cockpit3.001.jpeg_edited.jpg
acd%20cockpit3.001.jpeg_edited.jpg

click to

step thru

page thru

summaries

1/2

off

vuca

1/2

off 

help 

00-g100.png
toolbox1_edited_edited.png

Explore Ideas

SCAN
FOCUS
 ACT  
REFLECT
00 g-75.png
00-g100.png
00-g50.png
00 g-75.png

25

00 white. pc.png

100

00 white. pc.png

0

00 white. pc.png

50

00 white. pc.png

change aspect

toolbox1_edited_edited.png

supports

Rumsfeldian Risk Analysis

toolbox1_edited.jpg

Risk Are Known, Known Unknown, Unknowable - VUCA Shifts Risks To The Right

"Reports that say that something hasn't happened are always interesting to me because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns—the ones we don't know we don't know." Donald Rumsfeld.

 

This method looks at risks from the perspective of certainty: "Known", "Unknown" and "Unknowable" etc. This helps manage risk within the continuous planning and execution processes. Relative risk, experimentation and deferral strategies are developed in conjunction with Transition State planning over iterations of the ACD Cycle to provide continuous risk assessment.

Reassess Risks Regularly - Something Unkown Yesterday May be Known tomorrow.

step thru

 

scroll down to tool summary...